Sunday, January 6, 2008

The Giuliani Strategy

Pundits have been hammering Rudy for his primary strategy that focuses on larger states whose elections occur later in the season. I think this strategy might not be as reckless as they think because there is no early front runner with support of a broad cross-section of the Republican electorate. Because there are more choices it'll take longer for people to make up their minds. Hence, time is not as important. By taking his stand later on in the race, he's letting McCain, Huckabee, Romney, and Thompson weed each other out.

Plus, the media loves to hype dramatic ups and downs in any given race. It can tear a candidate down as easily as it built him up. The key is to be on top at the end of the game, not the beginning. A Rudy comeback that defies conventional wisdom would be a great story. I think Rudy should worry more about that huge proportion of the Republican base that would rather stay at home than vote for him in November.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Nice Call Mr. Fancy Pants