On the stump the other day Bill Clinton bluntly told reporters and voters that if Obama wins the Texas and Ohio primaries, then Hillary's presidential aspirations are finished (Here). This looks like a classic poker tell. Follow my logic:
1. If Obama does win, then Hillary's toast. Bill said so himself.
2. If we assume that Hillary would bow out gracefully when she faces long odds for the good of the Democratic party, then Bill is simply stating the obvious.
3. On the other hand, if we assume Hillary will continue to claw as long as she has hope for the nomination, regardless of the resulting scorched earth, then he wouldn't gamble and set his tag teammate up for failure, unless he knew something the rest of us don't.
4. Hillary's entire life has been mere prologue to capturing the presidency. Thus we must assume #3.
5. In other words, Bill is so confident in Texas and Ohio that he's willing to go all in before he's had a chance to play all his cards (i.e., the super delegates).
Shrewdly, Bill also sets up Hillary as the next comeback kid in the process. Rumors of her impending concession, such as these, play into this trap.
In other words, don't bet on Obama yet.
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